The
Mathematics of Probability Refutes "Coincidence"
What has been said so far shows the extraordinary
balances among the forces that make human life
possible in this universe. The speed of the Big
Bang's explosion, the values of the four fundamental
forces, and all the other variables that we will
be examining in the chapters ahead and which are
vital for existence have been arranged according
to an extraordinary precision.
Let us now make
a brief digression and consider the coincidence
theory of materialism. Coincidence is a mathematical
term and the possibility of an event's occurrence
can be calculated using the mathematics of probability.
Let's do so.
| THE
PROBABILITY OF THE OCCURRENCE OF A UNIVERSE
IN WHICH LIFE CAN FORM
|
The
calculations of British mathematician
Roger Penrose show that the probability
of universe conducive to life occurring
by chance is in 1010123. The
phrase "extremely unlikely" is inadequate
to describe this possibility.
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10000000000000000000000000000000 |
|
00000000000000000000000000000000 |
|
00000000000000000000000000000000 |
| 10 |
00000000000000000000000000000000
|
|
Taking the physical variables
into account, what is the likelihood of a universe
giving us life coming into existence by coincidence?
One in billions of billions? Or trillions of
trillions of trillions? Or more?
Roger Penrose,
a famous British mathematician and a close friend
of Stephen Hawking, wondered about this question
and tried to calculate the probability. Including
what he considered to be all variables required
for human beings to exist and live on a planet
such as ours, he computed the probability of this
environment occurring among all the possible results
of the Big Bang.
According to
Penrose, the odds against such an occurrence were
on the order of 1010123
to 1.
It is hard even
to imagine what this number means. In math, the
value 10123 means 1 followed by 123
zeros. (This is, by the way, more than the total
number of atoms 1078 believed to exist
in the whole universe.) But Penrose's answer is
vastly more than this: It requires 1 followed
by 10123 zeros.

Roger Penrose: "This number tells us how
precise the Creator's aim must have been." |
Or consider: 13 means 1,000, a thousand.
10103 is a number that that
has 1 followed by 1000 zeros. If there are six zeros,
it's called a million; if nine, a billion; if twelve,
a trillion and so on. There is not even a name for
a number that has 1 followed by 10123
zeros.
In
practical terms, in mathematics, a probability
of 1 in 1050 means "zero probability".
Penrose's number is more than trillion trillion
trillion times less than that. In short, Penrose's
number tells us that the 'accidental" or "coincidental"
creation of our universe is an impossibility.
Concerning this
mind-boggling number Roger Penrose comments:
This
now tells how precise the Creator's aim must
have been, namely to an accuracy of one part
in 1010123. This is an
extraordinary figure. One could not possibly
even write the number down in full in the ordinary
denary notation: it would be 1 followed by 10123
successive 0's. Even if we were to write a 0
on each separate proton and on each separate
neutron in the entire universe- and we could
throw in all the other particles for good measure-
we should fall far short of writing down the
figure needed. 1
The numbers defining
the design and plan of the universe's equilibrium
play a crucial role and exceed comprehension.
They prove that the universe is by no means the
product of a coincidence, and show us "how precise
the Creator's aim must have been" as Penrose stated.
In fact in order
to recognize that the universe is not a "product
of coincidences" one does not really need any
of these calculations at all. Simply by looking
around himself, a person can easily perceive the
fact of creation in even the tiniest details of
what he sees. How could a universe like this,
perfect in its systems, the sun, the earth, people,
houses, cars, trees, flowers, insects, and all
the other things in it ever have come into existence
as the result of atoms falling together by chance
after an explosion? Every detail we peer at shows
the evidence of Allah's existence and supreme
power. Only people who reflect can grasp these
signs.
In the creation of the
heavens and earth, and the alternation of the
night and day, and the ships which sail the
seas to people's benefit, and the water which
Allah sends down from the sky- by which He brings
the earth to life when it was dead and scatters
about in it creatures of every kind - and the
varying direction of the winds, and the clouds
subservient between heaven and earth, there
are Signs for people who use their intellect.
(Surat al-Baqara:164)
Seeing the
Plain Truth
20th-century
science has come up with categorical evidence
that the universe was created by Allah. The anthropic
principle that we mentioned before reveals every
detail of a universe that has been designed for
mankind to live in and in which there is no place
for chance.
The interesting
part is that the ones who discovered all this
and came to the conclusion that the universe couldn't
possibly have come into being by accident are
the very same people who defend the philosophy
of materialism. Scientists such as Paul Davies,
Arno Penzias, Fred Hoyle and Roger Penrose are
not pious men and they certainly had no intention
of proving Allah's existence as they pursued their
work. One can imagine that they reached their
conclusions about the design of the universe by
a superior power most unwillingly.
The American
astronomer George Greenstein confesses this in
his book The Symbiotic Universe:
How could this possibly
have come to pass (that the laws of physics
conform themselves to life)?…As we survey all
the evidence, the thought insistently arises
that some supernatural agency - or, rather Agency-
must be involved. Is it possible that suddenly,
without intending to, we have stumbled upon
scientific proof of the existence of a Supreme
Being? Was it God who stepped in and so providentially
crafted the cosmos for our benefit?2
An atheist, Greenstein
disregards the plain truth; nevertheless he cannot
keep from wondering. Other, less prejudiced scientists
on the other hand, readily admit that the universe
must have been specially designed for mankind
to live in. The American astrophysicist Hugh Ross
ends his article "Design and the Anthropic
Principle" with these words:
An intelligent, transcendent
Creator must have brought the universe into
existence. An intelligent, transcendent Creator
must have designed the universe. An intelligent,
transcendent Creator must have designed planet
Earth. An intelligent, transcendent Creator
must have designed life.3
Thus science proves the reality
of creation. Certainly there is Allah and He has
created everything around us–the seen and the
unseen. He is the sole Creator of the extraordinary
and outstanding equilibrium and design of the
heavens and Earth.
It has come such
a pass that today, materialism has the flavor
of a superstitious, unscientific system of belief.
The American geneticist Robert Griffiths jokingly
remarked "If we need an atheist for a debate,
I go to the philosophy department. The physics
department isn't much use."4
To sum up: Every
physical law and every physical constant in this
universe has been specifically designed to enable
human beings to exist and live. In his book The
Cosmic Blueprint, Davies states this truth in
the last paragraph, "The impression of Design
is overwhelming."5
Doubtlessly,
the design of the universe is evidence of Allah's
power to establish. The precise balances and all
the human beings and other creatures are the evidence
of Allah's supreme power and act of creation.
This result discovered by modern science is just
a reworking of a truth revealed fourteen centuries
ago in the Qur'an:
Your Lord is Allah, Who
created the heavens and the earth in six days
and then settled Himself firmly on the Throne.
He covers the day with the night and, each pursuing
the other urgently; and the sun and moon and
stars are subservient to His command. Both creation
and command belong to Him. Blessed be Allah,
the Lord of all worlds. (Surat
al-Araf: 54)
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